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北京市大气颗粒物与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的交互作用

伍燕珍 张金良

伍燕珍, 张金良. 北京市大气颗粒物与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的交互作用[J]. 环境科学研究, 2009, 22(12): 1403-1410.
引用本文: 伍燕珍, 张金良. 北京市大气颗粒物与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的交互作用[J]. 环境科学研究, 2009, 22(12): 1403-1410.
WU Yan-zhen, ZHANG Jin-liang. Interactive Effects of Particulate Matter and Temperature on Population Non-Accidental Deaths in Beijing, China[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2009, 22(12): 1403-1410.
Citation: WU Yan-zhen, ZHANG Jin-liang. Interactive Effects of Particulate Matter and Temperature on Population Non-Accidental Deaths in Beijing, China[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2009, 22(12): 1403-1410.

北京市大气颗粒物与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的交互作用

基金项目: 中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务专项(2007KYYW06)

Interactive Effects of Particulate Matter and Temperature on Population Non-Accidental Deaths in Beijing, China

  • 摘要: 使用Poisson回归和广义相加模型(GAM)相结合,通过比较不同温度下大气颗粒物质量浓度〔包括ρ(TSP)和ρ(PM10)〕与人群非意外死亡的关系,分析了北京市1998年1月—2000年6月ρ(TSP)和ρ(PM10)与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的交互作用. 结果表明:温度越高,ρ(TSP)和ρ(PM10)与温度对人群非意外死亡影响的联合作用就越大. 采用温度的P5和P95分位数将温度分为低、中、高温度层后,ρ(TSP)每增加10 μg/m3,每日非意外死亡人数分别增加0.177%,0.052%和0.311%;ρ(PM10)每增加10 μg/m3,每日非意外死亡人数分别增加0.090%,0.185%和0.568%. 高温度层ρ(TSP)和ρ(PM10)对人群非意外死亡的影响高于中温度层,表明大气颗粒物质量浓度和高温对人群非意外死亡的影响有交互作用.

     

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2009-04-23
  • 修回日期:  2009-05-11
  • 刊出日期:  2009-12-25

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