室内外不同臭氧水平对中国城市居民健康的影响
Impact of Different Indoor and Outdoor Ozone Levels on the Health of Urban Residents in China
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摘要: 基于室内外O3浓度的差异性,使用城市特异性暴露因子和暴露反应模型,2020年我国337个城市有44400例和137237例全因早逝可分别归因于O3污染的短期暴露和长期暴露,相应的经济损失为2375亿元和7367亿元,占当年国内生产总值的0.23%和0.73%,表明O3污染不容忽视,其中北京、天津、上海、重庆及河北、江苏、山东、河南、广东等地区人群健康影响较大。在各城市设置更加严格的室内外空气质量标准后发现:①满足当前的室内空气质量标准(160 μg/m3、112 μg/m3)无法带来健康效益,当城市每日室内O3浓度分别满足60、40、30、20、10 μg/m3标准时,可避免的总早逝损失为90、3931、16191、48861、85584例,相应的可避免经济损失为7、255、971、2787、4681亿元,山东、河南、江苏、广东和河北等省份受益最大。②当城市每日室外O3浓度分别满足160、100、80、70、60 μg/m3标准时,可避免的总早逝损失为6044、46090、78888、100160、124649例,相应的可避免经济损失为355、2548、4298、5420、6700亿元,其中山东、河南、江苏、广东和四川等省份受益最大。O3的生成涉及前体污染物,与PM2.5相比降低O3浓度更加困难,研究结果表明降低室内O3浓度可有效减少与臭氧相关的健康影响和经济损失,可率先在山东、河南、江苏、广东等地区实施更加严格的区域臭氧空气质量标准。Abstract: Based on the difference of indoor and outdoor O3 concentration, using city-specific exposure factors, the paper found that 44400 and 137237 cases of all-cause mortality in 337 cities in China in 2020 could be attributed to short-term and long-term exposure to O3 pollution, respectively. The corresponding economic losses were 237.5 billion yuan and 736.7 billion yuan, accounting for 0.23% and 0.73% of the GDP in that year, the short-term effect of O3 pollution cannot be ignored. After setting more stringent indoor and outdoor air quality standards, this paper find that ① the current indoor air quality standards (160 μg/m3、112 μg/m3) cannot bring health benefits, When the daily indoor O3 concentration in cities meets the standard of 60, 40, 30, 20 and 10 μg/m3, the total avoidable mortality is 90, 3931, 16191, 48861 and 85584 cases, and the corresponding avoidable economic losses are 7, 255, 971, 2787 and 468.1 billion yuan. ② When the daily outdoor O3 concentration in cities meets the standard of 160, 100, 80, 70 and 60 μg/m3, the total avoidable mortality is 6044, 46090, 78888, 100160 and 124649 cases, and the corresponding avoidable economic losses are 355, 2548, 4298, 5420 and 670 billion yuan. Since the generation of O3 involves precursor pollutants, it is more difficult to reduce the O3 concentration than PM2.5. The results show that reducing indoor O3 concentration can effectively reduce ozone-related health effects and economic losses.
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Key words:
- ozone pollution /
- air quality standards /
- public health /
- Chinese cities /
- exposure factor
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