长江流域生态系统恢复力评估及影响因素研究
Assessment and Influencing Factors of Ecological Resilience in the Yangtze River Basin
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摘要: 为探究长江流域生态系统稳定性及其影响因素,获取长江流域2001-2020年各年度的增强型植被指数(Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI)数据,并将长江流域划分为178万多个1km*1km栅格,拟合2001-2010、2001-2011、2001-2012直至2001-2020年每个栅格EVI变化斜率,分别统计斜率维持正或负栅格的数量,采用衰减函数拟合正负趋势的衰减时间,评价长江流域生态系统恢复力;采用斯皮尔曼相关系数分析降雨、地形(海拔、坡度)以及植被覆盖对生态系统恢复力的影响。结果表明:2001-2020年,长江流域平均增强型植被指数(EVI)值增长了7.76%,植被覆盖在逐渐变好;长江流域维持正趋势的栅格与维持负趋势的栅格衰减时间差为29.48年,生态环境整体是正向演替,生态系统恢复力整体为一般;长江流域生态系统恢复力呈现中部地区高、源头和下游低的特点,长江入海口区域生态系统恢复力较差;长江流域生态系统恢复力受地形(海拔、坡度)、降雨影响不明显,植被覆盖对生态系统恢复力有一定影响,生态系统恢复力随植被指数升高而增大。研究显示,长江流域植被覆盖整体呈上升趋势,生态系统恢复力空间差异较明显。Abstract: To explore the ecosystem stability and its influencing factors in the Yangtze River Basin, the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data of the Yangtze River Basin from 2001 to 2020 were obtained, and the Yangtze River Basin was divided into more than 1.78 million 1 km * 1 km grids. The EVI slope of each grid from 2001-2010, 2001-2011, 2001-2012 to 2001-2020 was fitted, and the number of grids with positive or negative slope was counted respectively. The exponential decay function was used to fit the attenuation of the positive and negative trends, and the ecological resilience of the Yangtze River basin was evaluated. Spearman correlation coefficient was used to analyze the effects of rainfall, topography (altitude, slope) and vegetation cover on ecosystem resilience. The results show that the average vegetation cover index (EVI) in the Yangtze River basin has increased by 7.76% from 2001 to 2020, and the vegetation cover was gradually getting better. The decay time difference between the grid with positive trend and the grid with negative trend is 29.48 years, the overall ecological environment is positive succession, and the overall ecosystem resilience is average. The ecological resilience of the Yangtze River Basin is characterized by high in the middle region, low in the source region and the lower reaches, and poor in the estuary of the Yangtze River. The ecological resilience of the Yangtze River Basin was not significantly affected by the topography (elevation, slope) and rainfall, but vegetation cover had a certain effect on ecosystem resilience which increased with vegetation index. The results show that the vegetation coverage in the Yangtze River Basin is on the rise, and the spatial difference of ecosystem resilience is obvious.
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