室内外不同臭氧水平对中国城市居民健康的影响

Impact of Different Indoor and Outdoor Ozone Levels on the Health of Urban Residents in China

  • 摘要: 定量评估降低室内外O3水平带来的健康影响对O3污染治理至关重要. 本文基于室内外O3浓度的差异性,使用城市特异性暴露因子和暴露反应模型模拟、预测满足不同室内外空气质量标准带来的健康效益情况. 结果表明:①2020年我国337个地级及以上城市可归因于O3污染短期暴露和长期暴露的全因早逝人数分别为44 400和137 237例,相应的经济损失分别为2 375×108、7 367×108元,分别占当年国内生产总值的0.23%和0.73%. ②O3浓度满足当前的《室内空气质量标准》(GB/T 18883—2022)(160 μg/m3)和《健康建筑评价标准》(T/ASC 02—2021) (112 μg/m3),无法带来健康效益,当城市每日室内O3达标浓度分别为60、40、30、20、10 μg/m3时,可避免的全因早逝人数(长期暴露)分别为90、3 931、16 191、48 861、85 584例,相应可避免的经济损失分别为7×108、255×108、971×108、2 787×108、4 681×108元. ③当城市每日室外O3达标浓度分别为160、100、80、70、60 μg/m3时,可避免的全因早逝人数(长期暴露)分别为6 044、46 090、78 888、100 160、124 649例,相应可避免的经济损失分别为355×108、2 548×108、4 298×108、5 420×108、6 700×108元. 研究显示,降低室内O3浓度可有效减少与O3相关的健康影响和经济损失,可率先在山东省、河南省、江苏省、广东省等地区实施更严格的区域O3空气质量标准.

     

    Abstract: Quantitative evaluation of the health impacts of reducing indoor and outdoor O3 levels is crucial for O3 pollution control. Based on the differences in indoor and outdoor O3 concentrations, this paper used city-specific exposure factors and exposure-response models to simulate and predict the health benefits of meeting different indoor and outdoor air quality standards. The results indicated that: (1) In 2020, the number of all-cause mortalities attributed to short-term and long-term exposure to O3 pollution in 337 prefecture-level and above cities in China were 44,400 and 137,237, respectively. The corresponding economic losses were 237.5 billion RMB and 736.7 billion RMB, respectively, accounting for 0.23% and 0.73% of the country′s GDP of that year, respectively. (2) Meeting the current Indoor Air Quality Standard (GB/T 18883-2022) (160 μg/m3) and Assessment Standard for Healthy Building (T/ASC 02-2021) (112 μg/m3) of O3 cannot bring health benefits. When the daily indoor O3 standard concentration in cities were 60, 40, 30, 20 and 10 μg/m3, the avoidable all-cause mortality losses (long-term exposure) were 90, 3,931, 16,191, 48,861 and 85,584 cases, respectively, and the corresponding avoidable economic losses were 7×108, 255×108, 971×108, 2,787×108, 4,681×108 RMB, respectively. (3) When the daily outdoor O3 standard concentration in the city were 160, 100, 80, 70 and 60 μg/m3, the avoidable all-cause mortality losses (long-term exposure) were 6,044, 46,090, 78,888, 100,160, 124,649 cases, respectively, and the corresponding avoidable economic losses were 355×108, 2,548×108, 4,298×108, 5,420×108 and 6,700×108 RMB, respectively. The research results show that reducing indoor O3 concentration can effectively reduce ozone-related health effects and economic losses. It is recommended that Shandong Province, Henan Province, Jiangsu Province, Guangdong Province and other regions implement stricter regional O3 air quality standards as a priority.

     

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