长三角减污降碳政策的协同效应和作用机制研究

Synergistic Effects and Mechanisms Involved in Pollution Reduction and Carbon Emission Reduction Policies in the Yangtze River Delta Region

  • 摘要: 在“双碳”目标和长三角地区一体化高质量发展的要求下,如何发挥环境政策的协同效应,协同推进减污、降碳和经济高质量发展,对于促进经济社会发展全面绿色转型具有重要意义. 以2006—2020年长三角地区41个地级市为研究对象,以大气污染物(包括SO2、NOx、PM和VOCs)排放当量、CO2排放量和经济高质量发展水平为被解释变量,以减污降碳政策力度为核心解释变量,通过固定效应和中介效应模型检验减污降碳政策对大气污染、碳排放和经济高质量发展的协同效应和作用机制. 结果表明:①减污降碳政策具有三重协同效应,政策力度每提升1%,平均意义上可降低0.470%的大气污染物排放当量,降低0.292%的CO2排放量,提升0.040%的经济高质量发展水平. ②减污降碳政策的协同效应具有地区异质性,在核心城市组能够实现减污、降碳和经济高质量发展的三重协同效应,而在中心城市组仅具有污染减排效应,在外围城市组没有产生显著效应. ③减污降碳政策主要通过减少能源消费、促进绿色技术创新实现减污、降碳和经济高质量发展. 研究显示,应充分考虑地区差异性,针对各城市组制定相应对策措施,进一步发挥减污降碳政策的协同效应,以全面实现长三角地区减污、降碳和经济高质量协同发展.

     

    Abstract: China has entered a new stage of coordinated governance of pollution control and carbon emissions reduction. In the Yangtze River Delta Region, it is necessary to coordinately promote pollution reduction, carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development to achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, and high-quality regional integrated development. In this context, the environmental policy synergies that promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction, green expansion, and growth are of great significance to the overall green transformation of economic and social development. 41 prefectural-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta Region were selected as samples to conduct an empirical study from 2006 to 2020. Taking the emission equivalent of atmospheric pollutants (including SO2, NOx , PM and VOCs), carbon dioxide emissions and high-quality economic development level as explanatory variables, and taking the intensity of pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction policies as the core explanatory variables, the synergistic effects of policies related to air pollution, carbon emissions, and high-quality economic development were tested by constructing a fixed effects model, and the mechanism involved was assessed by constructing an intermediary effects model. (1) The pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction policies had three significant synergistic effects. On average, for every 1% increase in the policy intensity, air pollution decreased by 0.470%, carbon dioxide emissions decreased by 0.292%, and the level of high-quality regional economic development increased by 0.040%. (2) The effects of the pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction policies were heterogeneous among regions. Only the core urban agglomeration achieved the synergistic effect of the three, while the central urban agglomeration only achieved pollution emission reduction, but had no policy effect on the peripheral urban agglomeration. (3) Two paths for energy consumption and green technology innovation were identified to achieve the three major synergistic effects of pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction policies. It is necessary to adapt measures to regional conditions differentiate policies, enhance policy synergy, and comprehensively achieve air pollution emission reduction, and high-quality economic development in the Yangtze River Delta Region.

     

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