Abstract:
In order to study the nonlinear relationship between PM
2.5 concentration variations and complex factors in Guanzhong region, the spatial distribution characteristics of PM
2.5 on different time scales such as year, season and month were deeply analyzed based on the meteorological data from January 2020 to December 2023. The maximum information coefficient was used to examine the relationship between PM
2.5 and other air pollutants in the region, and the CatBoost-SHAP-MCM model was applied to identify the key meteorological factors affecting PM
2.5 concentrations. The results show that: (1) The PM
2.5 concentration in the Guanzhong region exhibits obvious spatial distribution and seasonal variation characteristics, with the lowest annual average PM
2.5 concentration of 42.93 μg/m
3 in 2021 and the highest of 49.09 μg/m
3 in 2022. Seasonal and monthly variations are similar, both showing heavy pollution in winter and low pollution in summer. Pollution is most serious in winter, with PM
2.5 concentration reaching 84.35 μg/m
3, and the lowest pollution in summer, at 21.42 μg/m
3. Xi′an, Xianyang and Weinan are high-pollution cities, while Tongchuan and Baoji are low-pollution cities. (2) PM
2.5 shows the highest correlation with PM
10 concentrations, while correlations with CO and SO
2 concentrations are relatively low. (3) Dew point temperature, air temperature, sea level pressure, precipitation and surface pressure are the key meteorological influencing factors. Their influence is still significant in each city, and their effects are consistent across both the entire Guanzhong region and individual cities. (4) Under specific combinations such as low dew point temperature with low air temperature, and low dew point temperature with high sea level pressure and high surface pressure, the effects on PM
2.5 concentrations become more pronounced. The study demonstrates that PM
2.5 concentrations in the Guanzhong region exhibit distinct spatial differentiation and seasonal variation patterns, and are closely related to meteorological factors such as dew point temperature, air temperature, sea level pressure, precipitation, and surface pressure. These factors lead to more significant fluctuations in PM
2.5 concentration fluctuations under certain meteorological combinations.