Abstract:
The paper summarizes the research and application results from the three steps of the SO
2total emission control and emission trading policy in China. The static mixed-integer linear optimization model (YRDEGS) was used to analyze the SO
2control cost savings, installed FGD capacity differences, variable cost savings, SO
2allowance market size as well as the SO
2control cost increase during the trading and no trading scenarios. The following conclusion was drawn, that there are 38% savings of the SO
2control cost could get from emission trading in the 2000 power generation level and with a 20% SO
2reduction; 6.3 GW FGD capacities could be saved from installing; with the increase of power generation, there will be a bigger market for the SO
2emission trading; compare with the more stringent SO
2control policy, the allowance market is more sensitive with the increase of the power generation; with a 20% decrease of SO
2emission, the SO
2control cost should be around 3 billion to 4.5 billion yuan; and the full trading with owner floor, the cost should be around 0.6 billion to 2.85 billion yuan; at different level increase of power generation, with emission trading there are about 1.7 billion to 2.4 billion yuan cost saving of the SO
2emission control.